Logistic Model - Auto Transmission Example: Difference between revisions
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<noinclude>{{Banner RGA Examples}} | <noinclude>{{Banner RGA Examples}} | ||
''This example appears in the [ | ''This example appears in the [https://help.reliasoft.com/reference/reliability_growth_and_repairable_system_analysis Reliability growth reference]''. | ||
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<li>The next figure shows the entered data and the estimated parameters. | <li>The next figure shows the entered data and the estimated parameters. | ||
<br> | <br> | ||
[[Image:rga8.7.png|center| | [[Image:rga8.7.png|center|600px]] | ||
<br> | <br> | ||
</li> | </li> | ||
<li>The next figure displays the Reliability vs. Time plot. | <li>The next figure displays the Reliability vs. Time plot. | ||
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[[Image:rga8.8.png|center| | [[Image:rga8.8.png|center|450px]] | ||
<br> | <br> | ||
</li> | </li> | ||
<li>Using the QCP, the next figure displays, in months, when the reliability goal of 99% will be achieved. | <li>Using the QCP, the next figure displays, in months, when the reliability goal of 99% will be achieved. | ||
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[[Image:rga8.9.png|center| | [[Image:rga8.9.png|center|450px]] | ||
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</li> | </li> | ||
<li>The last figure shows the reliability at the end of January the following year (i.e., after 20 months of testing and development). | <li>The last figure shows the reliability at the end of January the following year (i.e., after 20 months of testing and development). | ||
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[[Image:rga8.10.png|center| | [[Image:rga8.10.png|center|450px]] | ||
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</ol> | </ol> |
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This example appears in the Reliability growth reference.
The following table presents the reliabilities observed monthly for an automobile transmission that was tested for one year.
- Find a Logistic reliability growth curve that best represents the data.
- Plot it comparatively with the raw data.
- If design changes continue to be incorporated and the testing continues, when will the reliability goal of 99% be achieved?
- If design changes continue to be incorporated and the testing continues, what will be the attainable reliability at the end of January the following year?
Month | Observed Reliability(%) |
---|---|
June | 22 |
July | 26 |
August | 30 |
September | 34 |
October | 45 |
November | 58 |
December | 68 |
January | 79 |
February | 85 |
March | 89 |
April | 92 |
May | 95 |
Solution
- The next figure shows the entered data and the estimated parameters.
- The next figure displays the Reliability vs. Time plot.
- Using the QCP, the next figure displays, in months, when the reliability goal of 99% will be achieved.
- The last figure shows the reliability at the end of January the following year (i.e., after 20 months of testing and development).